I crawled every entry, every pick and every weekly result of Underdog's 2025 Weekly Winners contest — then tested whether any of it still works at 2026 prices.
The 2025 study said take four running backs early. I re-ran the whole contest at 2026 prices to see if that still holds. It mostly doesn't - how do we adapt to these new prices?
Read the article23 slides from the Off and On The Clock episode: the staircase, the spike-week map, the onesie tax, the round-by-round playbook and the 2026 repricing. Every chart from the original study.
Get the deckUpload your Weekly Winners exposure CSV. Every entry graded on nine construction levers, then rolled up: expected top-1% rate, odds of a profitable season, your biggest remaining gain, and a player filter.
See what it doesWinning a week takes about 206 points — roughly 25 per lineup slot. That means four to six of your players have to spike in the same week, not spread across the season. Every finding here is downstream of that one constraint: build for simultaneity, and let best ball's auto-optimiser cash the week it lands.